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Questions tagged [actuarial-science]

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Deferred mortality probabilities (mortality table)

My question has to do with drawing correct conclusions regarding deferred mortality probability from a mortality table. I am looking at the table below (source). In it, the $q_x$ (2nd columns) is ...
Simon Righley's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
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Reserves using Thiele differential equation

I am trying to solve the Thiele differential equations $$ \frac{d}{dt}V^1(t)=r(t)V^1(t)-b^1(t)-\mu_{12}(t)(V^2(t)-V^1(t))-\mu_{10}(t)(V^1(t)) \\ \frac{d}{dt}V^2(t)=r(t)V^2(t)-\mu_{21}(t)(V^1(t)-V^2(t))...
idlatva's user avatar
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1 answer
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Cohort-based model vs. population-based model for mortality

A cohort-based model groups individuals with at least one common characteristic over a period of time through a state-transition process. A population-based model reflects as much information as ...
kdbm27's user avatar
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1 vote
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Is it possible to have negative beta terms in the Nelson-Siegel model?

The Nelson-Siegel model as described in this paper has the following form: $$ y_t(\tau) = \beta_0 + \frac{(\beta_1+\beta_2)(1- e^{(-m/\tau)})}{\frac{m}{\tau}} - \beta_2e^{(-m/\tau)} $$ Can the $\...
coffee-raid's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
183 views

Instantaneous Forward LIBOR rate formula under the real-world measure: A fundamental question

We know how the formula of an instantaneous forward LIBOR rate looks like: \begin{eqnarray} L(t, t, T) = \frac{1}{\Delta}\left(\frac{1}{P(t, T)} -1\right) \end{eqnarray} where $P(t, T)$ stands for the ...
user53249's user avatar
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Poisson distributed claim in non life insurance mathematics

I am struggling with the following problem. I assume that there is a single claim number $X$ with corresponding heterogeneity parameter $\theta>0$. I assume that $X$ given $\theta$ is Poisson ...
Jonathan Kiersch's user avatar
2 votes
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Poisson modelling of non-life insurance claims with reporting delay

I am considering a portfolio of car insurance policies. In order to capture the individual history (driving skills, age, etc.) of policyholders, it is assumed that the claim numbers $N(t)$ are modeled ...
Jonathan Kiersch's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
409 views

How comprehensively do actuarial exams cover quantitative finance?

Some context: The actuarial curriculum offers two papers on quantitative finance (QF): CT8: Financial Engineering (Utility theory, Measures of risk, MVPT, CAPM, Binomial model, stochastic calculus, ...
Dhruv Gupta's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
516 views

Normal default probability vs forward default probability/conditional default

is the diagram correct in calculating foward PD(conditional default) ? Or should the formula be Probability of default = probability of survival x forward PD Which of this is equal to marginal PD(...
Alan's user avatar
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2 votes
1 answer
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Risk-neutral pricing the "un"guaranteed benefits of an insurance policy

I'd love to know if the model of Black-Scholes-Merton could be used to anything that replicates the payoff of a call or option, for example: An insurance contract with participation ( meaning that ...
Roger Bravus's user avatar
-1 votes
1 answer
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Find a relationship between the present value and future value of an annuity [closed]

The following is a previous examination question in Financial Mathematics: If $A, r, n, PV$ and $FV$ represents the ordinary annuity (annuity immediate) amount, rate of interest, number of years, ...
pabhp's user avatar
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2 votes
1 answer
329 views

Projecting a Thiele differential equation with Black Scholes returns

I am trying to solve the equation $\frac{d}{dt}V(t)=r(t)V(t)+\pi-\mu(x+t)(b_d-V(t))$ numerically using the R function 'ode'. This is a Thiele differential equation for a life insurance reserve with ...
Martin Steen Andersen's user avatar
6 votes
0 answers
375 views

What are the essential characteristics of asset prices?

I think the question has already been asked about stylized facts of asset returns; this question regards the essential characteristics and normative assumptions used to evaluate asset prices. I.e., ...
David Addison's user avatar