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The possibility that a negative event (such as a loss) will happen.
3
votes
PD and LGD for ECL calculations needs to be time dependent?
I assume that you calculate ECL in the context of IFRS9 -correct?
market practice often follows the following approach:
estimate a TTC PD/LGD (TTC = through the cycle). This corresponds to your lifet …
1
vote
How is VaR calculated with mixed return-periods
There are several aspects:
The holding period that you want to measure:
Usually, you want to calculate VaR for a specified holding period. For USCITS funds it is e.g. 20 days for bank pillar 2 regulat …
9
votes
4
answers
2k
views
Why should there be an equity risk premium?
Yes, investors want to earn more than risk free but do they always get it? Or does the risk premium just fill the gap - sometimes positive sometimes negative? … Sometimes stocks are just falling and there is risk and no premium. What do you think? …
0
votes
How to test the linearity assumption of a model?
Do you have multiple observations of this relation? If so then you could perform linear regression and perform all the regression diagnostics.
7
votes
3
answers
250
views
Where to find good notations to teach investment portfolio maths?
I don't know whether this question is in order here. I do a bit of teaching and I am preparing my own notes but I thought that his should not be necessary.
In which book/pdf on the web can we find a …
3
votes
Why is variance problematic as a risk measure?
The next question is what the aim of your risk measures is. … portfolio B or my portfolio is riskier or less risky if I add/remove a tiny position in stock S then I would say:
Variance is (of course) as fine as standard deviation (volatility);
a Gaussian Value-at-Risk …
1
vote
Accepted
Is Value-at-Risk translation invariant?
Translation invariance of a risk measure $\rho$ is defined as
$$
\rho(X+k) = \rho(X)-k,
$$
where $X$ is a random variable such that $\rho(X)$ exists and $k$ is a constant. … The meaning is that if I add an amount $k$ to my risky positions then the risk is reduced by this amount. …
1
vote
0
answers
208
views
Estimate the risk of swaptions
I would like to model OTM Swaptions. I can use some implementation of the Bachelier model (not B76 due to negative rates) and implied volatilities from Bloomberg.
For 10Y X 10Y (10 years option matur …
2
votes
Accepted
How to Calculate Minimun total Risk?
I assume that risk it measured here in volatility. … Thus we should invest all our wealth in stock A and the minimal risk is 25%.
If the volatolity of B were smaller it could reduce risk to invest in B. …
2
votes
How to determine portion of portfolio's risks from components?
You can do 2 things:
incremental risk:
Calculate the volatility with the asset and with the asset replaced by cash. … The difference gives you the (non-linear) incremental risk contribution of the asset. …
5
votes
Accepted
how can we know the residual return will be uncorrelated with the market return
Let us ignore the riskless rate for simplicity of the presentation.
If you have (historical or simulated) return series $r_i$ for the portfolio and $r_i^M$ for the market, then the beta is the OLS reg …
6
votes
Accepted
Calculate VaR for a liabilty taking a exponential distribution?
The VaR of level $\alpha$ a loss random variable (the bigger the worse) is the quantity $q$ such that the loss is bigger with probability $1-\alpha$.
Thus we need a $q$ such that
$$
P[L>q] = 1-\alp …
2
votes
Convex risk measure and a coherent risk measure?
We define a convex risk measure as
$$
\rho( \lambda X_1 + (1-\lambda) X_2) \le \lambda \rho( X_1 ) + (1-\lambda) \rho(X_2),
$$
for $\lambda \in(0,1) $. … Thus a coherent risk measure is convex. The reverse is not true in general. …
1
vote
Accepted
Getting Parameter of Translated Gamma Distribution from Monte Carlo
I though about this one more time:
method of moments means that you do the following:
calculate some statistics (i.e. the moments) on the sample
express the moments of the distribution that you wan …
1
vote
Accepted
Compute moments of aggregate loss using Monte Carlo
For the formulas for the momemts of $S$ look here or google "moments in the collective risk model". …